Hi ZS, assuming that whether not really one wins or loses on one scratch ticket (what is that, in either case?) is independent from winning or losing on any other scratch ticket, you treat each event as wages event. Laws of probability tell us to multiply the various probabilities of independent situation. It appears that the probability of [losing] on any particular scratch ticket must be 2/3. So then the odds of [losing] on 30 scratch tickets when (if it is exactly what your issue is asking) end up being (2/3)^30 = approximately ten.2 x 10^-6, which is about.0000052, or 52 coming from 10 million, which comes down to 1 chance out of 192,307.
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